What is Naugur?

Naugur is a prediction market for sports, politics, crypto, and world events.

Naugur is a prediction-market platform. Each market asks a clear yes/no question about a future real-world event — “Will this team win?”, “Will this candidate be elected?” — and lets you trade shares in the outcome you expect.

A share pays out 1.00 USDC if its outcome happens and 0 if it does not. Because of that, a share’s price (between 0 and 1) reads directly as the market’s estimate of probability: a price of 0.63 means the market thinks there is roughly a 63% chance.

Why trade on Naugur

You profit when you are better informed than the crowd. Buy a “Yes” at 0.40 that resolves true and each share is worth 1.00 — a 150% return. Prices move live as news breaks and other traders react.

Naugur settles trades in real USDC on the Polygon network — your winnings are real and withdrawable.

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